Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2018)

ECMWF | Reading | 5-8 June 2018

UEF Group photo

Full size photo

A forum to discuss the use and performance of ECMWF's forecasts and related products

“Using ECMWF’s Forecasts” is open to all ECMWF forecast users. This year's theme provided an opportunity for participants to showcase innovative ideas, for example weather applications, forecast products or diagnostics tools. It also provided a framework where participants shared their experiences with ECMWF data and provided feedback on ECMWF products.

2018 theme: “ECMWF model output applications: the only limit is your imagination"

Weather is part of everybody’s life: we are curious about it, we want to plan our day or we use services (like energy, utilities) that are affected by it. Aviation, agriculture, energy, utilities, retail are some examples of sectors connected directly or indirectly to weather.

Weather data are transformed into relevant information to be used in decision making processes. Examples of this are indices alerting of favourable conditions for flu outbreaks and therefore helping people to make informed decisions regarding their health and well-being. Probabilities of winds being above or below specified thresholds provide means to effectively manage wind farms, and probabilities of occurrence of specified weather scenarios help farmers to minimise damages due to mildew on vineyards. These are just a few of the variety of applications that use weather information.

Let’s take a step further and imagine experiencing a severe weather event in virtual reality where you live. Could this experience help to make better decisions? Let us imagine using infographics to communicate forecast confidence. Would that make possible decision-making at a glance? This is what could be done with today’s ECMWF model outputs in addition to those applications in the water, energy, agriculture and health sectors that have already made use of ECMWF data.

UEF2018 focused on two thematic areas:

  • Processing of model outputs: a session dedicated to model output developments or visualisation with particular focus to innovative ideas that support forecasters when issuing weather warnings. Case studies demonstrating the use of new model output developments are welcomed.

  • Impact Forecasting:  session looking at how weather forecasts are used in sectoral applications like water, energy, agriculture, fire and health. Applications aimed at mitigating the impact of severe weather, at forecasting health risks and at minimising adverse impacts of human activities on the environment (for example maximise the use of green energy, minimise the use of pesticides, effective use of medications to prevent allergic reactions) are examples of topics for this session.

Presentations and Recordings

ECMWF product development
David Richardson (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

ECMWF@UEF2018: past, present and future
Florian Pappenberger (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

Verification news from ECMWF
Thomas Haiden (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

On the causes of systematic biases in near-surface weather parameters in the ECMWF forecasting system
Irina Sandu (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

Forecasting the "Beast from the East" and Storm Emma
Ken Mylne (Met Office)

PDF icon

video icon

Identification of weather factors affecting the number of refugees and migrants following the central Mediterranean route
Thomas Petroliagkis (Joint Research Center)

PDF icon

N/A

Perspective. Imagination. Key ingredients for happy users?
Isla Finney (Lake Street Consulting Ltd)

PDF icon

video icon

Workshop: Simple access to quality weather data via API
Martin Fengler (Meteomatics AG)

PDF icon

N/A

Using ECMWF data for impact based warnings
Elin Björk Jónasdóttir (Icelandic Met Office)

PDF icon

video icon

Improvement of numerical model forecasts by using Meteodrone measurements in planetary boundary layer
Martin Fengler (Meteomatics AG)

PDF icon

video icon

ECMWF forecasts for African small-scale farmers
Fiona van der Burgt (Weather Impact BV)

PDF icon

video icon

Imaginative insights or flights of (forecast) fantasy?
Leonard Smith (LSE CATS)

not available

video icon

Diagnostics of low frequency phenomena
Laura Ferranti (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

Calibration at ECMWF
Estibaliz Gascon (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

The relative contributions of ECMWF deterministic and ensemble forecasts in an automated consensus forecasting system
Brett Basarab (Global Weather Corporation)

PDF icon

video icon

Turbulence resolving weather forecasting: applications and operational aspects
Remco Verzijlbergh (Whiffle Weather Finecasting Ltd)

PDF icon

video icon

GloFAS/EFAS
Christel Prudhomme (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

Fire danger: the skill provided by ECMWF ensemble prediction system
Francesca Di Giuseppe (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

Breaking the barriers: eLearning at ECMWF
Anna Ghelli (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

*ESoWC - ECMWF's Summer of Weather Code
Julia Wagemann (ECMWF)

PDF icon

video icon

Exploring geoscience with AR/VR technologies
Tim Scheitlin (NCAR)

PDF icon

video icon

Use of direct radiation forecasts to improve the reliability of solar thermal energy
Jose L Casado-Rubio (AEMET)

PDF icon

video icon

An ensemble-based storm surge forecasting system for the coast of Norway
Haldis Berge (Met Norway)

PDF icon

N/A

Project Loon and ECMWF
Rob Carver (Project Loon at X Development)

not available

video icon

The development of new products by forecasters - Example: Probability of Thunder algorithm
Paavo Korpela (Finnish Meteorological Institute)

PDF icon

video icon

Visualisation products using COSMO-LEPS: recent upgrades at Arpae-SIMC
Andrea Montani (Arpae-SIMC)

PDF icon

video icon

How climate information can be made user relevant and usable: the case of the Sectoral Information System of C3S
Samuel Almond (ECMWF, Copernicus)

PDF icon

video icon

Posters

Sadibou Ba (Agence Nationale de l’Aviation Civile et de la Meteorologie, Senegal)

PDF icon

Lucia Benito (Iberdrola Renovables)

PDF icon

Leonore Boelee (HR Wallingford)

PDF icon

Sandra Correia (IPMA)

PDF icon

Sebastian Dietz (Universität Innsbruck)

PDF icon

Yue Guan (National Meteorological Center / CMA)

PDF icon

Tim Hewson (ECMWF)

PDF icon

K.K. Hon (Hong Kong Observatory)

PDF icon

Sazzad Hossain (Bangladesh Water Development Board)

PDF icon

Patrick Laux (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)

PDF icon

Jeffrey Chi Wai Lee (Hong Kong Observatory)

PDF icon

Alice Lemant (Météo-France)

PDF icon

Sharanya Majumdar (Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami)

PDF icon

András Mesterházy (OMSZ)

PDF icon

Fatima Pillosu (ECMWF)

PDF icon

Thomas Schumann (Deutscher Wetterdienst)

PDF icon

Andrei Steau (NEAS Energy A/S)

PDF icon

Vibeke Thyness (Met Norway)

PDF icon

Roman Voisard (MeteoSwiss)

PDF icon

W. K. Wong (Hong Kong Observatory)

PDF icon

Jun Xu (National Meteorological Center / CMA)

PDF icon